Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Red Bull Brasil vs Marilia

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Red Bull Brasil in this Paulista A3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Bull Brasil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Red Bull Brasil
40%
Draws
29%
Marilia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Marilia have won more games recently than Red Bull Brasil.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Red Bull Brasil have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Red Bull Brasil Clean Sheet 19%
Marilia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Bull Brasil Marilia
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Paulista A3
Red Bull Brasil vs Marilia
4:3
Mar 25, 2015 Paulista
Marilia vs Red Bull Brasil
0:2
Feb 11, 2014 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Marilia
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Bull Brasil 32 / 100
Marilia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Bull Brasil Marilia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Red Bull Brasil scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Red Bull Brasil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Marilia let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marilia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marilia1592425:1529
2Sao Jose EC1583413:1227
3Capivariano1576228:1127
4Gremio Prudente1573521:1624
5Desportivo1573514:924
6EC Sao Bernardo1571717:1622
7Uniao Suzano1563621:1821
8Matonense1562721:1820
9Bandeirante1555519:1520
10Red Bull Brasil1554624:2319
11Rio Preto EC1554615:2119
12Itapirense1547411:1719
13Votuporanguense1545614:1917
14Sertaozinho1551915:2616
15Barretos EC1544718:2916
16Audax-SP153398:1912