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Red Lions vs Extreme FC

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mkutu D.
47' Event
Kaziputa M.
90' Event
Jimu B.

AI Match Summary

Red Lions in this Super League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Red Lions
39%
Draws
31%
Extreme FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Lions have won more games recently than Extreme FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Red Lions Clean Sheet 68%
Extreme FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Lions Extreme FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2023 Super League
Red Lions vs Extreme FC
2:1
Jul 29, 2023 Super League
Extreme FC vs Red Lions
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Mkutu D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaziputa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Extreme FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Lions 41 / 100
Extreme FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Lions Extreme FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Extreme FC conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Extreme FC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Red Lions found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Red Lions VS Extreme FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Lions

(Home)
18 Jul
MAFCO
2 : 0
Red Lions
05 Jul
Red Lions
1 : 0
Civo Utd
28 Jun
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Red Lions
21 Jun
Red Lions
1 : 0
Chitipa United
31 May
Karonga United
1 : 0
Red Lions
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Extreme FC

(Away)
03 Dec
Extreme FC
1 : 2
Chitipa United
08 Nov
Kamuzu Barracks
1 : 0
Extreme FC
28 Oct
Extreme FC
0 : 3
Blue Eagles
21 Oct
Red Lions
2 : 1
Extreme FC
14 Oct
Extreme FC
3 : 2
Bangwe All Stars
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Big Bullets301612249:1960
2Silver Strikers30169541:1857
3Mighty Wanderers FC301510535:1655
4Chitipa United301461031:2948
5Kamuzu Barracks301371032:2346
6Bangwe All Stars301191037:3642
7Dedza Dynamos309111030:3838
8Civo Utd30813931:3037
9Karonga United309101134:3837
10MAFCO301071329:3637
11Mighty Tigers308121021:2236
12Mzuzu City30991226:3636
13Moyale Barracks308111132:3235
14Blue Eagles308111132:3235
15Red Lions30851722:5029
16Extreme FC30462016:4318
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)