Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Red Star vs Cholet

France France

National 2023/2024 Stade Bauer, Paris - Saint-Ouen
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Experience M.
29' Event
Ifnaoui M.
Assist: Durand D.
40' Event
Cisse K.
Assist: Ifnaoui M.

AI Match Summary

Red Star in this National 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Red Star
30%
Draws
23%
Cholet
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Star have won more games recently than Cholet.
  • Red Star are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Red Star Clean Sheet 68%
Cholet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Star Cholet
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.52 1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Red Star
1:1
Oct 23, 2023 Ligue 3
Red Star vs Cholet
2:0
May 12, 2023 Ligue 3
Red Star vs Cholet
1:2
Jan 6, 2023 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Red Star
1:4
Mar 11, 2022 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Red Star
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Ifnaoui M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cisse K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Cholet Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Star 50 / 100
Cholet 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Star Cholet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Red Star found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Cholet conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Red Star remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Red Star VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Star

(Home)
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
29 Aug
Red Star
1 : 4
Reims
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
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Cholet

(Away)
18 May
Chateauroux
1 : 2
Cholet
10 May
Cholet
0 : 2
Avranches
03 May
Le Mans
3 : 3
Cholet
26 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Rouen
19 Apr
Martigues
2 : 2
Cholet
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Star 34 19 8 7 55:34 65
2 Martigues 34 17 8 9 44:29 59
3 Niort 34 17 7 10 58:42 58
4 Dijon 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
5 Le Mans 34 14 10 10 49:44 52
6 Nancy 34 14 9 11 51:46 50
7 Rouen 34 15 9 10 41:37 49
8 Sochaux 34 12 12 10 51:44 48
9 Versailles 34 12 11 11 41:33 47
10 Orleans 34 11 11 12 36:37 44
11 Nimes 34 11 11 12 36:43 44
12 Chateauroux 34 10 12 12 41:44 42
13 Villefranche 34 10 11 13 36:43 41
14 GOAL FC 34 10 8 16 43:47 38
15 Avranches 34 11 5 18 37:59 38
16 Marignane GCB 34 9 10 15 37:50 37
17 Epinal 34 9 6 19 39:51 33
18 Cholet 34 9 5 20 34:55 32
Promotion - Ligue 2 2023/2024 (Main)