Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Red Star vs Negombo Youth

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2018/2019 game between Red Star and Negombo Youth finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Red Star
6%
Draws
4%
Negombo Youth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Red Star come out ahead of Negombo Youth on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Red Star's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Red Star Clean Sheet 20%
Negombo Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Star Negombo Youth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 4.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 4.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2019 Super League
Red Star vs Negombo Youth
7:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Star 85 / 100
Negombo Youth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Star Negombo Youth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Negombo Youth conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Red Star found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Red Star remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Red Star VS Negombo Youth
2.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Defenders FC16104235:2534
2Colombo1695240:2032
3Blue Star16102423:1632
4Sea Hawks1693430:1930
5Renown1683529:2027
6Ratnam SC1683523:1927
7UP Country Lions1680830:2224
8Red Star1665531:2123
9Matara City1665525:2423
10Blue Eagles1665518:2023
11Solid1653836:3418
12New Young's SC1652922:2517
13Java Lane1645724:3217
14Pelicans SC1645719:3017
15Saunders16421022:3514
16Crystal Palace1634914:3113
17Negombo Youth16141118:467
18Super Sun00000:00