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Redditch vs Lye Town

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Redditch and Lye Town finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Redditch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Redditch
15%
Draws
20%
Lye Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redditch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Lye Town haven't matched Redditch's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Redditch a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Redditch have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Redditch Clean Sheet 20%
Lye Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redditch Lye Town
Matches Played 32 12
Wins 18 1
Draws 8 1
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2024 Club Friendly
Redditch vs Lye Town
3:1
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Redditch vs Lye Town
4:1
Jul 8, 2021 Club Friendly
Redditch vs Lye Town
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redditch 85 / 100
Lye Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redditch Lye Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redditch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redditch scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Lye Town conceded in 100% of 12 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Solid form: Redditch remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Redditch VS Lye Town
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Redditch

(Home)
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Real Bedford
2 : 1
Redditch
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0
Malvern Town
05 Sept
Malvern Town
1 : 1
Redditch
31 Aug
Redditch
3 : 1
Halesowen
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Lye Town

(Away)
05 Sept
Lye Town
1 : 5
Racing Club Warwick
03 Aug
Kettering
4 : 1
Lye Town
18 Jul
Lye Town
2 : 1
Stourbridge
16 Jul
Stratford
2 : 0
Lye Town
08 Jul
Redditch
3 : 1
Lye Town
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