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Redencao vs Barreiras

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Redencao Logo

Redencao

0 - 1
FT
Barreiras Logo

Barreiras

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
De Araujo F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Barreiras in this Baiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barreiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Redencao
20%
Draws
42%
Barreiras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barreiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barreiras lately — more wins on the board than Redencao.
  • Win probability leans Redencao's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Redencao Clean Sheet 10%
Barreiras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redencao Barreiras
Matches Played 9 11
Wins 4 8
Draws 2 0
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.78 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Baiano 2
Redencao vs Barreiras
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redencao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Barreiras Compare

Top Goalscorer De Araujo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redencao 56 / 100
Barreiras 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redencao Barreiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redencao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreiras has conceded goals in 73% of their last 11 outings.

Redencao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Redencao scored in 56% of their last 9 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Redencao VS Barreiras
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Redencao

(Home)
05 Jul
Redencao
4 : 0
Camacari
20 Jun
Feira FC
0 : 0
Redencao
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
SSA
1 : 0
Redencao
Page 1 of 2

Barreiras

(Away)
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)