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Redencao vs Jacobina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Redencao Logo

Redencao

3 - 2
FT
Jacobina Logo

Jacobina

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Silva G.
28' Event
Bastos L. F.
78' Event
Bastos L. F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 game between Redencao and Jacobina finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Redencao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Redencao
20%
Draws
22%
Jacobina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Redencao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Redencao haven't matched Jacobina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Redencao's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Redencao Clean Sheet 68%
Jacobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redencao Jacobina
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 2 8
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.78 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Baiano 2
Redencao vs Jacobina
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redencao Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastos L. F.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Jacobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redencao 95 / 100
Jacobina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redencao Jacobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redencao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Jacobina has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Redencao stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Jacobina's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Redencao VS Jacobina
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Redencao

(Home)
05 Jul
Redencao
4 : 0
Camacari
20 Jun
Feira FC
0 : 0
Redencao
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
SSA
1 : 0
Redencao
Page 1 of 2

Jacobina

(Away)
05 Jul
Jacobina
0 : 5
Feira FC
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
13 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 6
Fluminense de Feira
07 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Jacobina
31 May
Jacobina
2 : 0
Camacari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)