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Redlands vs Ipswich

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Redlands play Ipswich in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Redlands averaged 1.86 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Ipswich averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Redlands won 2, Ipswich won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Redlands and 1.69 for Ipswich. This points to a Ipswich double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Redlands
35%
Draws
33%
Ipswich
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ipswich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Redlands picked up more points recently compared to Ipswich.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Redlands Clean Sheet 13%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands Ipswich
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Ipswich
5:0
Mar 14, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Redlands
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Ipswich
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Redlands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugh J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Christie H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Ipswich Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 31 / 100
Ipswich 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands Ipswich

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ipswich or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Redlands attacking → ← attacking Ipswich

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Ipswich let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Redlands went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ipswich lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 43
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507