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Redlands vs Ipswich

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds, Brisbane
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Match Events

2' Event
Christie H.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Hugh J.
68' Event
Christie H.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Redlands and Ipswich finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Redlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Redlands
35%
Draws
26%
Ipswich
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ipswich carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Redlands's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Redlands Clean Sheet 16%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands Ipswich
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Ipswich
5:0
Mar 14, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Redlands
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Ipswich
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Redlands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugh J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Christie H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Ipswich Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 48 / 100
Ipswich 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands Ipswich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redlands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Ipswich let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Redlands has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Redlands VS Ipswich
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Redlands

(Home)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 0
Redlands
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich

(Away)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
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