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Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds, Brisbane
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Match Events

2' Event
Salmon C.
3' Event
Melvin-Tong A.
19' Event
Lockyer F.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Redlands and Sunshine Coast Wanderers finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Redlands
35%
Draws
41%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sunshine Coast Wanderers come out ahead of Redlands on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Sunshine Coast Wanderers taking it.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Redlands Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2:4
Feb 21, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Redlands
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Redlands
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 NPL Queensland
Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2:2
Jul 29, 2023 NPL Queensland
Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Melvin-Tong A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lockyer F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Newcome B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salmon C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 26 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands Sunshine Coast Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Redlands scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Redlands remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Redlands VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Redlands

(Home)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 0
Redlands
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6

Sunshine Coast Wanderers

(Away)
05 Sept
Broadbeach Utd.
2 : 0
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1
Broadbeach Utd.
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)