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Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds
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AI Match Summary

Redlands play Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Redlands averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Sunshine Coast Wanderers averaged 1.61 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Redlands won 0, Sunshine Coast Wanderers won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 16, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Redlands and 2.44 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers. This points to a Redlands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Redlands
35%
Draws
32%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Redlands picked up more points recently compared to Sunshine Coast Wanderers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Redlands Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2:4
Feb 21, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Redlands
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Redlands
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 NPL Queensland
Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2:2
Jul 29, 2023 NPL Queensland
Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Melvin-Tong A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lockyer F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Newcome B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salmon C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 32 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Redlands or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Redlands attacking → ← attacking Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Redlands went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 30
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518