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Redondense vs Moura AC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2018/2019 game between Redondense and Moura AC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moura AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Redondense
20%
Draws
64%
Moura AC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moura AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Moura AC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Moura AC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Redondense Clean Sheet 19%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redondense Moura AC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 0 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 28 18
Goals Scored 0.67 1.15
Goals Conceded 3.1 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Redondense vs Moura AC
2:3
Aug 26, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moura AC vs Redondense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redondense 10 / 100
Moura AC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redondense Moura AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moura AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moura AC let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Moura AC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Redondense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Moura AC
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Redondense

(Home)
12 May
1º Dezembro
5 : 0
Redondense
05 May
Redondense
0 : 3
Louletano
28 Apr
Redondense
0 : 3
Olhanense
19 Apr
Casa Pia
4 : 0
Redondense
14 Apr
Redondense
1 : 1
Sporting Ideal
Page 1 of 6

Moura AC

(Away)
13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2
Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1
Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2
Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Praiense 34 24 5 5 57:21 77
2 Casa Pia 34 23 1 10 71:29 70
3 Real SC 34 20 9 5 61:22 69
4 Oriental 34 18 10 6 44:22 64
5 Olhanense 34 19 6 9 69:34 63
6 Amora 34 18 6 10 49:36 60
7 1º Dezembro 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Armacenenses 34 13 12 9 42:44 51
9 Louletano 34 12 14 8 37:30 50
10 Montijo 34 14 7 13 50:41 49
11 Sporting Ideal 34 12 11 11 40:39 47
12 Pinhalnovense 34 12 9 13 51:54 45
13 Sacavenense 34 10 9 15 50:49 39
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 34 9 6 19 37:61 33
15 Moura AC 34 7 9 18 45:65 30
16 SC Angrense 34 7 9 18 29:55 30
17 Ferreiras 34 3 8 23 22:77 17
18 Redondense 34 0 2 32 21:104 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)