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Referencia U20 vs GE Osasco U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Juan
17' Event
Lucca
41' Event
Lucca

AI Match Summary

Referencia U20 in this Paulista U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Referencia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Referencia U20
15%
Draws
21%
GE Osasco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Referencia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Referencia U20 have won more games recently than GE Osasco U20.
  • Referencia U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
GE Osasco U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Referencia U20 GE Osasco U20
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 11 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.41 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2024 Paulista U20
GE Osasco U20 vs Referencia U20
4:6
Apr 26, 2024 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs GE Osasco U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Referencia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucca
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leonardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

GE Osasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Juan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Guilherme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Referencia U20 84 / 100
GE Osasco U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Referencia U20 GE Osasco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Referencia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GE Osasco U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 20 matches.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Referencia U20 scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Referencia U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Referencia U20 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Referencia U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0
Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Tanabi U20
0 : 2
Referencia U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2
Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Referencia U20
Page 1 of 7

GE Osasco U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Osasco Sporting U20
2 : 0
GE Osasco U20
07 Jun
GE Osasco U20
2 : 9
Sao Paulo U20
31 May
GE Osasco U20
4 : 6
Referencia U20
24 May
Clube Vital U20
3 : 4
GE Osasco U20
17 May
GE Osasco U20
1 : 2
Osasco Audax U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 10 9 1 0 33:5 28
2 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 10 8 1 1 24:7 25
3 Olimpia FC U20 10 4 1 5 9:18 13
4 Tanabi U20 10 4 0 6 12:17 12
5 Rio Preto EC U20 10 2 0 8 9:23 6
6 Fernandopolis U20 10 1 1 8 5:22 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino U20 10 9 1 0 37:5 28
2 Gremio Prudente U20 10 7 1 2 17:9 22
3 Marilia AC U20 10 5 1 4 19:13 16
4 Presidente Prudente U20 10 4 1 5 15:21 13
5 Vocem U20 10 1 2 7 10:23 5
6 Tupa U20 10 0 2 8 8:35 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 10 7 2 1 43:8 23
2 Sertaozinho U20 10 6 1 3 17:17 19
3 Comercial U20 10 3 5 2 26:20 14
4 CA Bandeirante U20 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
5 Francana U20 10 3 1 6 20:28 10
6 Inter de Bebedouro U20 10 2 1 7 14:39 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velo Clube U20 10 8 1 1 22:5 25
2 Ferroviaria U20 10 6 2 2 34:5 20
3 XV de Jau U20 10 5 3 2 27:6 18
4 Rio Claro U20 10 4 2 4 15:14 14
5 Sao Carlos U20 10 1 2 7 7:29 5
6 CA Taquaritinga U20 10 1 0 9 2:48 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao U20 10 5 4 1 14:6 19
2 Internacional de Limeira U20 10 4 5 1 18:16 17
3 Piracicaba U20 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
4 Cosmopolitano Sports U20 10 4 3 3 10:8 15
5 Rio Branco EC U20 10 3 1 6 13:16 10
6 Independente SP U20 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 10 7 1 2 20:8 22
2 Aguai U20 10 5 2 3 11:6 17
3 Brasilis U20 10 5 1 4 15:20 16
4 Itapirense U20 10 4 0 6 13:21 12
5 Porto Football U20 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
6 Guacuano U20 10 2 1 7 11:19 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ituano U20 10 7 1 2 25:13 22
2 Desportivo U20 10 7 0 3 25:10 21
3 Sao Bento U20 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
4 Sfera U20 10 5 2 3 25:14 17
5 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 10 3 0 7 11:19 9
6 Elosport U20 10 0 0 10 4:38 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano U20 10 7 2 1 16:6 23
2 Taubate U20 10 5 3 2 22:15 18
3 Pinda U20 10 4 2 4 24:12 14
4 Sao Jose EC U20 10 3 5 2 16:11 14
5 CA Joseense U20 10 3 3 4 21:21 12
6 Uniao Mogi U20 10 0 1 9 4:38 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 10 7 1 2 23:8 22
2 Guarani U20 10 6 3 1 22:8 21
3 SKA Brasil U20 10 4 4 2 14:11 16
4 Capivariano U20 10 4 2 4 18:20 14
5 Paulinia FU U20 10 1 3 6 12:27 6
6 Metropolitano FC U20 10 1 1 8 6:21 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 10 10 0 0 38:4 30
2 Referencia U20 10 5 2 3 18:19 17
3 Osasco Sporting U20 10 5 1 4 18:10 16
4 Osasco Audax U20 10 2 2 6 9:19 8
5 GE Osasco U20 10 2 2 6 21:33 8
6 Clube Vital U20 10 2 1 7 10:29 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 10 9 1 0 44:2 28
2 Ibrachina U20 10 7 1 2 24:11 22
3 Portuguesa U20 10 4 2 4 13:17 14
4 Flamengo SP U20 10 3 1 6 8:21 10
5 Nacional SP U20 10 2 4 4 11:13 10
6 Guarulhos U20 10 0 1 9 5:41 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 10 7 2 1 18:4 23
2 Sao Caetano U20 10 7 2 1 12:4 23
3 Agua Santa U20 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
4 Aster Itaqua U20 10 3 2 5 5:11 11
5 EC Sao Bernardo U20 10 2 3 5 7:10 9
6 CA Juventus U20 10 1 3 6 6:15 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 10 8 1 1 38:4 25
2 Santo Andre U20 10 7 1 2 18:16 22
3 Portuguesa Santista U20 10 5 2 3 19:20 17
4 Maua FC U20 10 5 0 5 15:15 15
5 Jabaquara U20 10 1 3 6 9:18 6
6 Mauaense U20 10 0 1 9 9:35 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams