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Referencia U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Referencia U20 Logo

Referencia U20

1 - 2
FT
Gremio Prudente U20 Logo

Gremio Prudente U20

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jefferson
18' Event
Arenales K.
88' Event
Murilo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gremio Prudente U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Prudente U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Referencia U20
30%
Draws
28%
Gremio Prudente U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Referencia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Referencia U20 haven't matched Gremio Prudente U20's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Gremio Prudente U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Referencia U20 Gremio Prudente U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Referencia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jefferson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gremio Prudente U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arenales K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murilo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Referencia U20 35 / 100
Gremio Prudente U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Referencia U20 Gremio Prudente U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Prudente U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Referencia U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Gremio Prudente U20 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Referencia U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Referencia U20 VS Gremio Prudente U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Referencia U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0
Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Tanabi U20
0 : 2
Referencia U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2
Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Referencia U20
Page 1 of 6

Gremio Prudente U20

(Away)
23 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
0 : 0
CA Juventus U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5
Guarani U20
04 Sept
Porto Football U20
1 : 7
Gremio Prudente U20
28 Aug
Sfera U20
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente U20
25 Aug
Osasco Audax U20
2 : 2
Gremio Prudente U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)