Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista U20

Referencia U20

1 - 2

Gremio Prudente U20

Our Tip

Match Events

Jefferson

18'

Arenales K.

88'

Murilo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gremio Prudente U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Prudente U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Referencia U20

44%

Draws

20%

Gremio Prudente U20

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Referencia U20 haven't matched Gremio Prudente U20's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Gremio Prudente U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Referencia U20	Gremio Prudente U20
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	7	15
Draws	9	5
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	1.13	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Paulista U20

Referencia U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Referencia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jefferson

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Gremio Prudente U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arenales K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Murilo

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Referencia U20 35 / 100

Gremio Prudente U20 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Referencia U20 Gremio Prudente U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Referencia U20 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gremio Prudente U20 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Referencia U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Referencia U20 VS Gremio Prudente U20

1.13 Goals Scored 1.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CA Juventus U20	6	4	1	1	16:6	13
2	Ferroviaria U20	5	4	1	0	10:1	13
3	Corinthians U20	5	4	1	0	6:0	13
4	Santos U20	5	3	2	0	10:0	11
5	Portuguesa U20	6	3	1	2	9:6	10
6	Portuguesa Santista U20	6	2	2	2	9:11	8
7	Sertaozinho U20	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
8	Ponte Preta U20	5	2	1	2	5:6	7
9	Jabaquara U20	6	2	1	3	3:4	7
10	Itapirense U20	6	2	0	4	9:13	6
11	Sao Bento U20	5	1	1	3	5:7	4
12	Uniao Suzano U20	6	1	1	4	4:15	4
13	America SP U20	6	1	0	5	3:13	3
14	Mirassol U20	5	0	2	3	4:9	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ibrachina U20	6	6	0	0	19:4	18
2	Desportivo U20	7	5	0	2	8:4	15
3	Sao Paulo U20	5	4	1	0	10:1	13
4	Osasco Sporting U20	6	4	0	2	9:7	12
5	Piracicaba U20	7	2	4	1	8:6	10
6	Paulinense U20	7	2	3	2	7:8	9
7	Aguai U20	7	2	2	3	7:14	8
8	Santo Andre U20	6	2	1	3	8:8	7
9	Sao Caetano U20	7	2	1	4	9:12	7
10	Novorizontino U20	6	1	3	2	7:6	6
11	Uniao Sao Joao U20	7	1	3	3	5:7	6
12	EC Sao Bernardo U20	6	1	2	3	5:11	5
13	Bandeirante U20	7	1	2	4	4:10	5
14	Botafogo SP U20	6	0	4	2	7:10	4
15	Velo Clube U20	6	0	4	2	4:9	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bragantino U20	5	5	0	0	19:5	15
2	Guarani U20	6	5	0	1	13:6	15
3	Agua Santa U20	7	4	2	1	14:7	14
4	Palmeiras U20	5	4	1	0	11:2	13
5	Sfera U20	7	4	0	3	17:6	12
6	Gremio Prudente U20	6	3	1	2	9:8	10
7	Capivariano U20	7	2	4	1	9:8	10
8	Osasco Audax U20	7	2	2	3	7:9	8
9	XV de Jau U20	6	2	1	3	5:13	7
10	Ituano U20	6	1	4	1	7:9	7
11	Flamengo SP U20	6	2	0	4	5:12	6
12	Maua FC U20	7	1	3	3	5:12	6
13	Tanabi U20	7	1	2	4	7:14	5
14	Porto Football U20	6	0	1	5	0:8	1
15	Referencia U20	6	0	1	5	4:13	1