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Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Referencia U20 Logo

Referencia U20

0 - 2
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Palmeiras U20 Logo

Palmeiras U20

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Luis Saboia
35' Event
Bilong M. C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Referencia U20
15%
Draws
49%
Palmeiras U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras U20 lately — more wins on the board than Referencia U20.
  • Win probability leans Palmeiras U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Palmeiras U20 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Referencia U20 Palmeiras U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 24
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.2 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.62 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:2
Sep 26, 2025 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Referencia U20
3:0
Sep 19, 2025 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:2
May 3, 2025 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Referencia U20
4:0
Jan 13, 2025 Copinha
Palmeiras U20 vs Referencia U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Referencia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.31

Palmeiras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Saboia
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bilong M. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Referencia U20 10 / 100
Palmeiras U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Referencia U20 Palmeiras U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Referencia U20's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Referencia U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Palmeiras U20 let in goals in 41% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Referencia U20 VS Palmeiras U20
0.86 Goals Scored 1.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.38
71% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Referencia U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0
Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Tanabi U20
0 : 2
Referencia U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2
Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Referencia U20
Page 1 of 6

Palmeiras U20

(Away)
16 Sept
Palmeiras U20
10 : 0
Naviraiense U20
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
08 Sept
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Palmeiras U20
04 Sept
Palmeiras U20
0 : 2
Vasco U20
28 Aug
Vasco U20
0 : 1
Palmeiras U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)