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Referencia U20 vs Portuguesa U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2025 game between Referencia U20 and Portuguesa U20 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Referencia U20
17%
Draws
70%
Portuguesa U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Portuguesa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portuguesa U20 come out ahead of Referencia U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Portuguesa U20 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Portuguesa U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Referencia U20 Portuguesa U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Paulista U20
Portuguesa U20 vs Referencia U20
1:2
Sep 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Portuguesa U20
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Paulista U20
Portuguesa U20 vs Referencia U20
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Referencia U20 15 / 100
Portuguesa U20 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Referencia U20 Portuguesa U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Referencia U20 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Portuguesa U20 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Referencia U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Referencia U20 VS Portuguesa U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Palmeiras U204
Sertaozinho U200
Portuguesa U201
Referencia U202
Bragantino U209
Itapirense U202
Novorizontino U201
Botafogo SP U205
EC Sao Bernardo U202
Internacional de Limeira U201
Uniao Suzano U205
XV de Jau U204
Santos U205
Portuguesa Santista U201
Corinthians U204
Piracicaba U201
Sao Paulo U204
Maua FC U202
Santo Andre U203
Osasco Sporting U206
Ibrachina U2010
Osasco Audax U200
Ferroviaria U206
Mirassol U204
Guarani U203
Desportivo U200
CA Juventus U200
Gremio Prudente U203
Ituano U204
Sao Caetano U200
Ponte Preta U201
Capivariano U200
1/8-finals
Palmeiras U205
Referencia U200
Bragantino U201
Botafogo SP U204
EC Sao Bernardo U203
Uniao Suzano U202
Santos U203
Corinthians U201
Sao Paulo U204
Osasco Sporting U202
Ibrachina U200
Ferroviaria U201
Guarani U205
Gremio Prudente U202
Ituano U202
Ponte Preta U203
Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U204
Botafogo SP U201
EC Sao Bernardo U201
Santos U207
Sao Paulo U202
Ferroviaria U200
Guarani U203
Ponte Preta U200
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U204
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204
Guarani U201
Final
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204