Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Regar-TadAZ vs Istaravshan

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Regar-TadAZ in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Regar-TadAZ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Regar-TadAZ
20%
Draws
7%
Istaravshan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Regar-TadAZ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Regar-TadAZ lately — more wins on the board than Istaravshan.
  • Win probability leans Regar-TadAZ's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Regar-TadAZ here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 20%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regar-TadAZ Istaravshan
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.29 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Istaravshan
3:1
Sep 18, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Istaravshan
4:2
Apr 14, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ
2:4
Nov 10, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Istaravshan
2:0
Jun 23, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Regar-TadAZ
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regar-TadAZ 85 / 100
Istaravshan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regar-TadAZ Istaravshan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regar-TadAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istaravshan let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Regar-TadAZ remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Istaravshan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Regar-TadAZ VS Istaravshan
2 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Regar-TadAZ

(Home)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
12 Aug
Maziya
0 : 3
Regar-TadAZ
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Istaravshan

(Away)
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)