Sport Picks

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Regar-TadAZ vs Panjsher

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Odinaev M.
19' Event
Ruziev I.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Kuchkorov R.

AI Match Summary

Panjsher in this Vysshaya Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Panjsher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Regar-TadAZ
30%
Draws
31%
Panjsher
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Regar-TadAZ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Regar-TadAZ have won more games recently than Panjsher.
  • Model gives Regar-TadAZ a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 20%
Panjsher Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regar-TadAZ Panjsher
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.24 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Panjsher
1:2
May 30, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Panjsher vs Regar-TadAZ
1:2
Nov 27, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Panjsher vs Regar-TadAZ
1:0
May 26, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Panjsher
1:0
Sep 18, 2019 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Panjsher
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Regar-TadAZ Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Panjsher Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuchkorov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regar-TadAZ 76 / 100
Panjsher 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regar-TadAZ Panjsher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regar-TadAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panjsher let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Regar-TadAZ remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Regar-TadAZ scored in 53% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Regar-TadAZ VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Regar-TadAZ

(Home)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
12 Aug
Maziya
0 : 3
Regar-TadAZ
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Panjsher

(Away)
10 Nov
Panjsher
1 : 1
Khosilot Parkhar
05 Nov
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 2
Panjsher
24 Oct
Panjsher
2 : 2
Khujand
18 Oct
Eskhata
1 : 0
Panjsher
28 Sept
Panjsher
1 : 0
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)