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Regensburg II vs ATSV Erlangen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Regensburg II play ATSV Erlangen in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Regensburg II averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. ATSV Erlangen averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Regensburg II won 1, ATSV Erlangen won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Regensburg II and 1.75 for ATSV Erlangen. This points to a Regensburg II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Regensburg II
16%
Draws
33%
ATSV Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Regensburg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Regensburg II picked up more points recently compared to ATSV Erlangen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Regensburg II Clean Sheet 12%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regensburg II ATSV Erlangen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Regensburg II vs ATSV Erlangen
3:2
Oct 24, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Regensburg II
2:1
Nov 29, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Regensburg II
1:1
Aug 14, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Regensburg II vs ATSV Erlangen
1:2
Mar 8, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Regensburg II
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regensburg II 48 / 100
ATSV Erlangen 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regensburg II ATSV Erlangen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Regensburg II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Regensburg II attacking → ← attacking ATSV Erlangen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Regensburg II scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

ATSV Erlangen let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Regensburg II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

ATSV Erlangen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 27
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eltersdorf32212955:3065
2Cham32178758:3559
3ASV Neumarkt32185968:5059
4Gebenbach321651153:4753
5Bamberg321312754:3951
6Weiden321311857:3950
7Ingolstadt II321461264:5448
8Fortuna Regensburg321291166:5845
9Regensburg II321351459:5344
10Bayern Hof3211101156:5143
11Neudrossenfeld321251547:5441
12TSV Kornburg329131048:5040
13Wurzburger FV321071546:6237
14ATSV Erlangen321071543:6137
15Stadeln321121942:6535
16Coburg32932044:8130
17Grossschwarzenlohe32482035:6620