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Regensburg II vs ATSV Erlangen

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Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between Regensburg II and ATSV Erlangen finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regensburg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Regensburg II
20%
Draws
6%
ATSV Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Regensburg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Regensburg II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Regensburg II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Regensburg II Clean Sheet 15%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regensburg II ATSV Erlangen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Regensburg II vs ATSV Erlangen
3:2
Oct 24, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Regensburg II
2:1
Nov 29, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Regensburg II
1:1
Aug 14, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Regensburg II vs ATSV Erlangen
1:2
Mar 8, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Regensburg II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regensburg II 84 / 100
ATSV Erlangen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regensburg II ATSV Erlangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regensburg II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ATSV Erlangen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Regensburg II remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Regensburg II found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Regensburg II VS ATSV Erlangen
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Regensburg II

(Home)
26 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 1
Weiden
19 Sept
Bayern Hof
2 : 2
Regensburg II
12 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 0
TSV Kornburg
06 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 2
Regensburg II
27 Aug
Regensburg II
4 : 2
DJK Ammerthal
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ATSV Erlangen

(Away)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)