Sport Picks

Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Jahnstadion Regensburg

Regensburg

1 - 3

Alemannia Aachen

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Muller P. In: Saller B.

Out: Muller P.

26'

Sub

Hermes L. In: Hottmann E.

Out: Hermes L.

33'

Wegmann M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Regensburg and Alemannia Aachen finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alemannia Aachen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Regensburg

Draws

90%

Alemannia Aachen

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alemannia Aachen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Regensburg haven't matched Alemannia Aachen's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Alemannia Aachen taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Alemannia Aachen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Alemannia Aachen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Regensburg	Alemannia Aachen
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	17
Draws	6	6
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.88	2.88
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 3. Liga

Regensburg vs Alemannia Aachen

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Nov 22, 2025 3. Liga

Alemannia Aachen vs Regensburg

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Aug 20, 2005 DFB Pokal

Regensburg vs Alemannia Aachen

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Mar 28, 2004 2. Bundesliga

Alemannia Aachen vs Regensburg

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Oct 19, 2003 2. Bundesliga

Regensburg vs Alemannia Aachen

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Regensburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hottmann E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Alemannia Aachen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gindorf L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Schroers M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regensburg 10 / 100

Alemannia Aachen 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Regensburg Alemannia Aachen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alemannia Aachen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Regensburg's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Regensburg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Regensburg VS Alemannia Aachen

1.88 Goals Scored 2.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VfL Osnabruck	38	24	8	6	66:34	80
2	Energie Cottbus	38	21	9	8	72:51	72
3	RW Essen	38	20	10	8	78:66	70
4	Duisburg	38	19	11	8	66:49	68
5	Hansa Rostock	38	18	13	7	74:49	67
6	Verl	38	18	10	10	82:48	64
7	Alemannia Aachen	38	19	7	12	76:57	64
8	Munich 1860	38	15	11	12	54:53	56
9	Wehen	38	15	8	15	54:52	53
10	Mannheim	38	15	7	16	59:72	52
11	FC Viktoria Koln	38	15	6	17	51:53	51
12	Ingolstadt	38	13	10	15	65:56	49
13	Regensburg	38	14	7	17	54:58	49
14	VfB Stuttgart II	38	13	7	18	57:69	46
15	Saarbrucken	38	10	14	14	51:57	44
16	Hoffenheim II	38	12	7	19	65:71	43
17	TSV Havelse	38	9	8	21	57:89	35
18	Aue	38	7	13	18	51:70	34
19	Ulm	38	9	6	23	49:78	33
20	1. FC Schweinfurt	38	5	6	27	38:87	21