Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Regensburg vs Hoffenheim II

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Jahnstadion Regensburg, Regensburg
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Hottmann E.
(Penalty)
52'
Sub
Erlein L. In: Abraha N.
Out: Erlein L.
60'
Sub
Seidel N. In: Posselt J.
Out: Seidel N.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Regensburg and Hoffenheim II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Regensburg
30%
Draws
58%
Hoffenheim II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hoffenheim II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hoffenheim II haven't matched Regensburg's recent run of results.
  • Hoffenheim II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hoffenheim II here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Regensburg Clean Sheet 12%
Hoffenheim II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regensburg Hoffenheim II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.76 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. Liga
Hoffenheim II vs Regensburg
5:1
May 2, 2026 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Hoffenheim II
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 3. Liga
Hoffenheim II vs Regensburg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Regensburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Dietz F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hoffenheim II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahr F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regensburg 10 / 100
Hoffenheim II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regensburg Hoffenheim II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Regensburg found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Hoffenheim II conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Regensburg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Regensburg VS Hoffenheim II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Regensburg

(Home)
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 3
Regensburg
15 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Dusseldorf
12 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 2
Regensburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
29 Aug
Hoffenheim II
5 : 1
Regensburg
Page 1 of 6

Hoffenheim II

(Away)
19 Sept
Hoffenheim II
1 : 0
Meppen
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
13 Sept
Hoffenheim II
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
06 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 0
Hoffenheim II
29 Aug
Hoffenheim II
5 : 1
Regensburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)