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Reggiana vs Livorno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Reggiana host Livorno in the Serie C - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Reggiana at 0.97 goals for, 1.31 against; Livorno at 1.32 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Livorno slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.25) point toward Livorno. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Reggiana
20%
Draws
36%
Livorno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reggiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Livorno have won more games recently than Reggiana.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Reggiana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 19%
Livorno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggiana Livorno
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Livorno vs Reggiana
3:1
Jun 4, 2017 Serie C - Group A
Reggiana vs Livorno
2:2
May 31, 2017 Serie C - Group A
Livorno vs Reggiana
1:2
Feb 10, 2002 Lega Pro C1/A
Livorno vs Reggiana
3:0
Oct 6, 2001 Lega Pro C1/A
Reggiana vs Livorno
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggiana 42 / 100
Livorno 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggiana Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Reggiana's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Livorno has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Reggiana stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Reggiana VS Livorno
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Reggiana

(Home)
30 Oct
Reggiana
2 : 0
Sambenedettese
25 Oct
Grosseto
2 : 0
Reggiana
20 Oct
Pineto
2 : 0
Reggiana
17 Oct
Reggiana
2 : 0
Sassari Torres
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1
Spezia
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Livorno

(Away)
01 Nov
Livorno
1 : 0
Ostiamare
28 Oct
Spezia
2 : 1
Livorno
24 Oct
Sambenedettese
2 : 1
Livorno
16 Oct
Livorno
4 : 4
Grosseto
11 Oct
Forli FC
1 : 1
Livorno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 12 10 2 0 21:6 32
2 Ravenna 12 8 2 2 22:7 26
3 Grosseto 12 6 5 1 25:15 23
4 Reggiana 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
5 Pescara 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
6 Livorno 12 5 4 3 17:16 19
7 Sassari Torres 12 5 4 3 13:12 19
8 Campobasso 12 5 3 4 18:20 18
9 Guidonia 1937 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
10 Perugia 12 5 2 5 16:18 17
11 Vado 12 4 4 4 14:13 16
12 Latina 12 3 6 3 12:12 15
13 Atalanta U23 12 5 0 7 14:18 15
14 Pineto 12 3 5 4 10:13 14
15 Forli FC 12 2 6 4 16:18 12
16 Sambenedettese 12 2 4 6 16:20 10
17 Pianese 12 1 7 4 7:11 10
18 Ostiamare 12 2 3 7 10:15 9
19 Gubbio 12 2 2 8 10:21 8
20 Vis Pesaro 12 1 2 9 11:26 5
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)