Sport Picks

Italy

Serie B Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Palermo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Reggiana play Palermo in the Serie B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Reggiana averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Palermo averaged 1.66 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Reggiana won 2, Palermo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Reggiana and 1.63 for Palermo. This points to a Palermo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Reggiana

24%

Draws

52%

Palermo

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Reggiana picked up more points recently compared to Palermo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Reggiana Clean Sheet 14%

Palermo Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Reggiana	Palermo
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	6	16
Draws	7	8
Losses	17	5
Goals Scored	0.77	1.66
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie B

Reggiana vs Palermo

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Aug 23, 2025 Serie B

Palermo vs Reggiana

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Jan 26, 2025 Serie B

Reggiana vs Palermo

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Oct 26, 2024 Serie B

Palermo vs Reggiana

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Apr 27, 2024 Serie B

Palermo vs Reggiana

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Lambourde M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Palumbo A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggiana 24 / 100

Palermo 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Reggiana Palermo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Palermo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Reggiana attacking → ← attacking Palermo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reggiana scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Palermo let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Reggiana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Palermo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 56

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Venezia	38	24	10	4	77:31	82
2	Frosinone	38	23	12	3	76:34	81
3	Monza	38	22	10	6	61:32	76
4	Palermo	38	20	12	6	61:33	72
5	Catanzaro	38	15	14	9	62:51	59
6	Modena	38	15	10	13	49:36	55
7	Juve Stabia	38	11	18	9	44:45	51
8	Avellino	38	13	10	15	43:55	49
9	Mantova	38	13	7	18	45:57	46
10	Padova	38	12	10	16	39:49	46
11	Cesena	38	12	10	16	45:56	46
12	Carrarese	38	10	14	14	47:52	44
13	Sampdoria	38	11	11	16	35:48	44
14	Entella	38	10	12	16	36:51	42
15	Empoli	38	9	14	15	47:54	41
16	Sudtirol	38	8	17	13	38:48	41
17	Bari	38	10	10	18	38:60	40
18	Reggiana	38	9	10	19	36:56	37
19	Spezia	38	8	11	19	43:59	35
20	Pescara	38	7	14	17	51:66	35