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Stadium Background

Reggina vs Calcio Avola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Rotulo R.
44' Event
Magrassi A.
59' Event
Girasole D.

AI Match Summary

Reggina in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Reggina
15%
Draws
42%
Calcio Avola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Reggina lately — more wins on the board than Calcio Avola.
  • Reggina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%
Calcio Avola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggina Calcio Avola
Matches Played 31 7
Wins 22 4
Draws 4 0
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.65 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.52 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Calcio Avola
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotulo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magrassi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Calcio Avola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggina 95 / 100
Calcio Avola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggina Calcio Avola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Reggina scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Reggina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Calcio Avola conceded in 57% of 7 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Reggina VS Calcio Avola
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Reggina

(Home)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Trapani
1 : 0
Reggina
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 7

Calcio Avola

(Away)
07 Oct
Calcio Avola
0 : 4
ASD Modica Calcio
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
Castrumfavara
0 : 1
Calcio Avola
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)