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Stadium Background

Reggina vs Igea Virtus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Toscano F.
90'
Ferrara V.
90' Event
Alma G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Reggina and Igea Virtus finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Reggina
15%
Draws
45%
Igea Virtus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Reggina come out ahead of Igea Virtus on wins alone.
  • Model gives Reggina a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Reggina Clean Sheet 19%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggina Igea Virtus
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.6 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Igea Virtus vs Reggina
3:2
Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Igea Virtus
2:0
Mar 25, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Reggina
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Igea Virtus
0:1
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Igea Virtus
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Toscano F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alma G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Igea Virtus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggina 85 / 100
Igea Virtus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggina Igea Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reggina found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Igea Virtus conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Reggina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Reggina VS Igea Virtus
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Reggina

(Home)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Trapani
1 : 0
Reggina
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
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Igea Virtus

(Away)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
Nissa
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)