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Stadium Background

Reggina vs Melfi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Botta S.
31'
Vicente
39'
Laezza G.

AI Match Summary

Reggina in this Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Reggina
15%
Draws
26%
Melfi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Reggina have won more games recently than Melfi.
  • Reggina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%
Melfi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggina Melfi
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 22 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.53 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.55 0.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2017 Serie C - Group C
Reggina vs Melfi
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Reggina
3:0
Mar 21, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Reggina vs Melfi
2:1
Nov 8, 2014 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Reggina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Botta S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.78

Melfi Compare

Top Goalscorer Foggia C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggina 95 / 100
Melfi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggina Melfi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Reggina scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Melfi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Reggina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Reggina VS Melfi
2.25 Goals Scored 0.29
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Reggina

(Home)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Trapani
1 : 0
Reggina
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 7

Melfi

(Away)
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1
Nocerina
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0
Melfi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Foggia 38 25 10 3 70:29 85
2 Lecce 38 21 11 6 62:36 74
3 Matera 38 18 11 9 71:44 65
4 Juve Stabia 38 18 10 10 65:43 64
5 Virtus Francavilla 38 16 9 13 47:45 57
6 Siracusa 38 16 9 13 47:43 57
7 Cosenza 38 15 10 13 57:46 55
8 Paganese 38 14 9 15 51:45 50
9 Casertana 38 13 12 13 38:42 49
10 Fondi 38 11 17 10 49:46 49
11 Catania 38 14 12 12 40:36 47
12 Fidelis Andria 38 10 17 11 30:33 47
13 Reggina 38 10 15 13 44:54 45
14 ACR Messina 38 12 10 16 38:52 44
15 Monopoli 38 9 15 14 42:54 42
16 Akragas 38 9 12 17 30:47 39
17 Vibonese 38 9 12 17 27:46 39
18 Catanzaro 38 9 11 18 36:49 38
19 Melfi 38 9 8 21 38:68 34
20 Taranto 38 6 12 20 25:49 30
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)