Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Giannone L.
50'
50'
Simeri S.
53'
53'
Giannone L.
AI Match Summary
Nocerina in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reggina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Reggina have won more games recently than Nocerina.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Reggina taking it.
- Reggina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Reggina, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Reggina have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Reggina | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 22 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.43 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Reggina vs Nocerina
2:3
Aug 12, 2012 Coppa Italia
Reggina vs Nocerina
1:0
Apr 21, 2012 Serie B
Nocerina vs Reggina
0:4
Nov 13, 2011 Serie B
Reggina vs Nocerina
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Reggina Compare
Top Goalscorer Chirico F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salandria F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Nocerina Compare
Top Goalscorer Giannone L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Simeri S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Reggina 95 / 100
Nocerina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Reggina Nocerina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Reggina found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Reggina has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Nocerina has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Reggina VS Nocerina
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Reggina
(Home) 27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0 Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3 Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0 Calcio Avola
13 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
0 : 1 Reggina
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0 Licata
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27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0 Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0 Calcio Avola
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0 Licata
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2 Sanremese
10 May
Reggina
1 : 0 Athletic Palermo
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Nocerina
(Away) 27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1 Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2 Ischia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1 Ebolitana
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20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1 Nocerina
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0 Nocerina
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0 Nocerina
29 Mar
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0 Nocerina
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
