Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Regua vs Guarda FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Regua Logo

Regua

1 - 0
FT
Guarda FC Logo

Guarda FC

Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Camara J. C.
61' Event
Perdigao
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Regua and Guarda FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Regua
20%
Draws
64%
Guarda FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarda FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Guarda FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guarda FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Regua Clean Sheet 23%
Guarda FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regua Guarda FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda FC vs Regua
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Regua vs Guarda FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regua 10 / 100
Guarda FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regua Guarda FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarda FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarda FC has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Guarda FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Regua scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Regua VS Guarda FC
0.29 Goals Scored 0.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.63
43% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Regua

(Home)
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
13 Apr
Guarda FC
1 : 1
Regua
06 Apr
Regua
0 : 3
SC Salgueiros
30 Mar
Uniao Lamas
2 : 1
Regua
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
Page 1 of 6

Guarda FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Guarda FC
30 Aug
Ac. Fundao
0 : 6
Guarda FC
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)