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Regua vs Maritimo B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Isnaba G.
50' Event
Freitas D.
60' Event
Isnaba G.

AI Match Summary

Maritimo B in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maritimo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Regua
15%
Draws
73%
Maritimo B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritimo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maritimo B lately — more wins on the board than Regua.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Regua Clean Sheet 21%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regua Maritimo B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.66 1.03
Goals Conceded 2 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Regua
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Regua vs Maritimo B
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Regua Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Isnaba G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Freitas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regua 37 / 100
Maritimo B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regua Maritimo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritimo B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo B has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Maritimo B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Regua scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Regua VS Maritimo B
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Regua

(Home)
13 Apr
Guarda FC
1 : 1
Regua
06 Apr
Regua
0 : 3
SC Salgueiros
30 Mar
Uniao Lamas
2 : 1
Regua
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
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Maritimo B

(Away)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)