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Renaissance Mons vs Virton

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
de Almeida M.
(Penalty)
32'
Arib G.
67' Event
Inchaud M.

AI Match Summary

Virton in this National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Renaissance Mons
20%
Draws
40%
Virton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Virton have won more games recently than Renaissance Mons.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Renaissance Mons taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Renaissance Mons Clean Sheet 16%
Virton Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renaissance Mons Virton
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.68 2.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs Virton
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Renaissance Mons
0:3
Dec 13, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs Virton
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Renaissance Mons
3:1
May 10, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs Virton
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renaissance Mons Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Virton Compare

Top Goalscorer Inchaud M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renaissance Mons 41 / 100
Virton 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renaissance Mons Virton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renaissance Mons's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Virton has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Renaissance Mons remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Renaissance Mons VS Virton
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Renaissance Mons

(Home)
26 Sept
Londerzeel
0 : 4
Renaissance Mons
20 Sept
Onhaye
2 : 5
Renaissance Mons
12 Sept
Renaissance Mons
2 : 2
Tubize-Braine
05 Sept
Renaissance Mons
3 : 0
OC Charleroi
30 Aug
Charleroi B
1 : 0
Renaissance Mons
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Virton

(Away)
26 Sept
Oostkamp
0 : 3
Virton
20 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 1
Virton
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Virton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virton 10 7 0 3 18:13 45
2 Renaissance Mons 10 6 3 1 19:8 43
3 Tubize-Braine 10 4 4 2 13:11 40
4 Meux 10 4 1 5 15:16 31
5 Habay La Neuve 10 3 1 6 9:15 28
6 Union Rochefortoise 10 1 1 8 12:23 20
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