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Renate U19 vs Padova U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 2
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renate U19 host Padova U19 in the Primavera 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Renate U19 have averaged 1.42 scored and 1.35 conceded recently, against Padova U19's 1.26 scored and 1.87 conceded. Past meetings favor Renate U19 slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.44 - 1.31) back Renate U19 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Renate U19
20%
Draws
28%
Padova U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Renate U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Padova U19 haven't matched Renate U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Renate U19 a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Renate U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Padova U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate U19 Padova U19
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.42 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Primavera 2
Renate U19 vs Padova U19
0:3
Jan 17, 2026 Primavera 2
Padova U19 vs Renate U19
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Primavera 2
Renate U19 vs Padova U19
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Primavera 2
Padova U19 vs Renate U19
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Primavera 2
Renate U19 vs Padova U19
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate U19 85 / 100
Padova U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate U19 Padova U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renate U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate U19 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Padova U19 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Renate U19 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Renate U19 VS Padova U19
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate U19

(Home)
10 Oct
Cittadella U19
1 : 1
Renate U19
26 Sept
Udinese U19
0 : 2
Renate U19
19 Sept
Lecco U19
1 : 4
Renate U19
12 Sept
Renate U19
1 : 1
Vicenza U19
05 Sept
Reggiana U19
1 : 3
Renate U19
Page 1 of 7

Padova U19

(Away)
10 Oct
Padova U19
0 : 4
Sampdoria U19
19 Sept
Entella U19
4 : 1
Padova U19
12 Sept
Padova U19
1 : 0
Reggiana U19
05 Sept
Udinese U19
0 : 4
Padova U19
29 Aug
Bari U19
1 : 0
Padova U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza U19 4 3 1 0 8:1 10
2 Sampdoria U19 4 2 2 0 11:5 8
3 Renate U19 4 2 2 0 9:4 8
4 Entella U19 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
5 Union Brescia U19 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
6 Mantova U19 4 1 3 0 6:3 6
7 Cremonese U19 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
8 Padova U19 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
9 Udinese U19 4 2 0 2 7:11 6
10 Modena U19 4 1 1 2 11:10 4
11 Venezia U19 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
12 Cittadella U19 4 1 1 2 9:11 4
13 Lecco U19 4 1 1 2 2:8 4
14 Sudtirol U19 4 0 3 1 1:4 3
15 Pro Vercelli U19 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
16 Reggiana U19 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Catanzaro U19 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Perugia U19 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
3 Benevento U19 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
4 Avellino U19 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
5 Bari U19 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
6 Palermo U19 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
7 Pescara U19 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
8 Monopoli U19 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
9 Spezia U19 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
10 Latina U19 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 Napoli U19 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
12 Pisa U19 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
13 Ascoli U19 4 0 2 2 6:10 2
14 Frosinone U19 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
15 Cosenza U19 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
16 Salernitana U19 4 0 0 4 1:17 0
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)