Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Cerbone S.
45'
45'
Ori R.
Own Goal
45'
45'
Sub
Delcarro A. In: De Zen R.
Out: Delcarro A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Casarano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casarano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Casarano carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Casarano taking it.
- Casarano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Casarano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Renate Clean Sheet 16%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Renate | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Casarano
0:3
May 10, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Casarano vs Renate
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Renate Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Casarano Compare
Top Goalscorer Cerbone S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grandolfo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Renate 19 / 100
Casarano 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Renate Casarano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Casarano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Renate scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Casarano has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Renate has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Renate VS Casarano
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Renate
(Home) 17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0 Varese FC
13 May
Renate
0 : 3 Casarano
Page 1 of 3
Casarano
(Away) 19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
16 Aug
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
