Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renate vs Juventus U23

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Mino Favini, Meda
Wed, Oct 29, 2025
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Bonetti A.
34' Event
Pugno D.
1' Event
Delcarro A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Renate in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Renate
35%
Draws
24%
Juventus U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Renate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Juventus U23 haven't matched Renate's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Renate's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Renate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Renate, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Renate Clean Sheet 68%
Juventus U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Juventus U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Renate vs Juventus U23
2:1
Jan 22, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Juventus U23 vs Renate
1:1
Sep 17, 2022 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Juventus U23
3:2
May 12, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Renate vs Juventus U23
0:1
May 8, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Juventus U23 vs Renate
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonetti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Juventus U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pugno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 59 / 100
Juventus U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Juventus U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Juventus U23 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Renate has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Juventus U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0
Varese FC
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Patria
19 Apr
Trento
3 : 3
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Juventus U23

(Away)
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2
Juventus U23
25 Jul
Pisa
1 : 1
Juventus U23
06 May
Juventus U23
0 : 2
Pianese
03 May
Juventus U23
2 : 2
Vis Pesaro
26 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 2
Bra
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2