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Renate vs Latina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Mino Favini, Meda
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Anelli N.
43'
Sub
Calabrese B. In: Dutu E.
Out: Calabrese B.
44'
Porro M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Renate
35%
Draws
41%
Latina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Latina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Renate lately — more wins on the board than Latina.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Renate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Renate Clean Sheet 68%
Latina Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Latina
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Latina vs Renate
2:1
Jan 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Renate vs Latina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghezzi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Hergheligiu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 41 / 100
Latina 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Latina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Latina let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Renate has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Latina
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Latina

(Away)
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2