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Renate vs Latina

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Mino Favini, Meda
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Anelli N.
43'
Sub
Calabrese B. In: Dutu E.
Out: Calabrese B.
44'
Porro M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Renate
15%
Draws
39%
Latina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Renate lately — more wins on the board than Latina.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Renate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Renate Clean Sheet 68%
Latina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Latina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Latina vs Renate
2:1
Jan 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Renate vs Latina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghezzi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Hergheligiu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 42 / 100
Latina 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Latina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Latina let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Renate has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Latina
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3
Renate
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0
Varese FC
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Patria
Page 1 of 6

Latina

(Away)
16 Aug
Latina
2 : 1
Ostiamare
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Latina
2 : 0
Casertana
12 Apr
Latina
1 : 2
Casarano
06 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Latina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2