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Rennes vs Lille - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rennes host Lille in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Rennes at 1.9 goals for, 1.71 against; Lille at 1.53 for, 1.06 against. Head-to-head, Rennes have won 1 to Lille's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.38) back Lille to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Rennes
30%
Draws
29%
Lille
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lille carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rennes taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rennes Clean Sheet 17%
Lille Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rennes Lille
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lille
1:2
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Lille vs Rennes
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lille
0:2
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Lille vs Rennes
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Lille vs Rennes
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rennes 41 / 100
Lille 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rennes Lille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Rennes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lille let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rennes VS Lille
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rennes

(Home)
30 Oct
Nice
5 : 2
Rennes
25 Oct
Rennes
3 : 0
Strasbourg
22 Oct
Juventus
2 : 2
Rennes
18 Oct
Paris FC
4 : 3
Rennes
15 Oct
Rennes
2 : 1
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 7

Lille

(Away)
30 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Lens
25 Oct
Monaco
1 : 1
Lille
21 Oct
Lille
2 : 4
Galatasaray
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1
Brest
13 Oct
Arsenal
3 : 0
Lille
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
4 Monaco 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
5 Lyon 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Paris FC 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
8 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
9 Marseille 8 4 0 4 18:13 12
10 Lorient 8 3 3 2 7:6 12
11 Toulouse 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12 Auxerre 8 3 1 4 12:18 10
13 Brest 8 2 3 3 14:12 9
14 Angers 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
15 Le Mans 8 1 4 3 11:16 7
16 Strasbourg 8 2 1 5 12:18 7
17 Troyes 8 1 2 5 5:16 5
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)