Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renova vs Makedonija GP

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2022/2023 Ecolog Arena, Tetovo
Wed, Oct 26, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renova host Makedonija GP in the 1. MFL 2022/2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Renova have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Makedonija GP's 1.57 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, Renova have won 0 to Makedonija GP's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.60 - 0.86) back Renova to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Renova
15%
Draws
32%
Makedonija GP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Makedonija GP come out ahead of Renova on wins alone.
  • Model gives Makedonija GP a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Renova Clean Sheet 20%
Makedonija GP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renova Makedonija GP
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2022 1. MFL
Renova vs Makedonija GP
0:0
Aug 7, 2022 1. MFL
Makedonija GP vs Renova
0:0
Apr 6, 2022 1. MFL
Renova vs Makedonija GP
0:1
Feb 20, 2022 1. MFL
Renova vs Makedonija GP
0:1
Oct 2, 2021 1. MFL
Makedonija GP vs Renova
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renova 10 / 100
Makedonija GP 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renova Makedonija GP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Makedonija GP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Makedonija GP has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Renova scored in 63% of their last 8 outings.

Recent resilience: Renova stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Makedonija GP has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Makedonija GP
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renova

(Home)
14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0
Renova
15 May
Borec
1 : 5
Renova
08 May
Renova
2 : 0
FK Skopje
04 May
Tikves
0 : 1
Renova
01 May
Renova
1 : 1
Struga
Page 1 of 2

Makedonija GP

(Away)
19 Sept
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
12 Sept
Makedonija GP
1 : 0
Kamjani
06 Sept
Brera Strumica
1 : 0
Makedonija GP
02 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 14
Makedonija GP
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Struga 30 20 8 2 53:19 68
2 Shkupi 30 17 7 6 62:27 58
3 Shkendija Tetovo 30 16 9 5 43:23 57
4 Sileks 30 13 9 8 41:34 48
5 Bregalnica Stip 30 10 11 9 33:34 41
6 Tikves 30 11 7 12 40:37 40
7 Makedonija GP 30 10 9 11 37:33 39
8 Rabotnicki 30 11 4 15 37:48 37
9 Brera Strumica 30 6 10 14 34:38 28
10 FK Skopje 30 4 10 16 17:44 22
11 Pobeda 30 3 4 23 18:78 13
12 Renova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2023/2024 (Main)