Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renova vs Mladost Carev Dvor

North Macedonia North Macedonia

First League 2015/2016 Ecolog Arena, Tetovo
Renova Logo

Renova

4 - 2
FT
Mladost Carev Dvor Logo

Mladost Carev Dvor

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Shabani B.
14' Event
Celeski A.
19' Event
Saliu P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First League 2015/2016 game between Renova and Mladost Carev Dvor finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Renova
15%
Draws
0%
Mladost Carev Dvor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Renova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Renova a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Renova here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Renova Clean Sheet 20%
Mladost Carev Dvor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renova Mladost Carev Dvor
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 2 3
Losses 3 25
Goals Scored 1.83 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.92 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 1. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Renova
0:4
Apr 28, 2016 1. MFL
Renova vs Mladost Carev Dvor
4:2
Apr 6, 2016 1. MFL
Renova vs Mladost Carev Dvor
3:0
Oct 25, 2015 1. MFL
Renova vs Mladost Carev Dvor
1:0
Aug 16, 2015 1. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Renova
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renova Compare

Top Goalscorer Shabani B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulla X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Mladost Carev Dvor Compare

Top Goalscorer Celeski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saliu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renova 85 / 100
Mladost Carev Dvor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renova Mladost Carev Dvor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mladost Carev Dvor conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Mladost Carev Dvor registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Renova scored in 75% of their last 12 games.

Scoring Trends

Renova VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Renova

(Home)
14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0
Renova
15 May
Borec
1 : 5
Renova
08 May
Renova
2 : 0
FK Skopje
04 May
Tikves
0 : 1
Renova
01 May
Renova
1 : 1
Struga
Page 1 of 3

Mladost Carev Dvor

(Away)
12 Oct
Mladost Carev Dvor
:
Met. Skopje
21 Sept
Met. Skopje
:
Mladost Carev Dvor
15 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 4
Renova
08 May
Met. Skopje
4 : 0
Mladost Carev Dvor
04 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 2
Turnovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renova 33 13 8 12 49:42 47
2 Turnovo 33 12 10 11 45:43 46
3 Met. Skopje 33 5 4 24 27:66 19
4 Mladost Carev Dvor 33 6 1 26 22:81 19
Relegation - First League 2015/2016 (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2016/2017 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2016/2017 (Main)