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Renovacao vs Canario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2
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AI Match Summary

The Amapaense 2 game between Renovacao and Canario finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Renovacao
15%
Draws
73%
Canario
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canario come out ahead of Renovacao on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Canario taking it.
  • Regular Amapaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Renovacao Clean Sheet 12%
Canario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renovacao Canario
Matches Played 6 6
Wins 0 3
Draws 1 0
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Amapaense 2
Renovacao vs Canario
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renovacao 27 / 100
Canario 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renovacao Canario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canario Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canario let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Canario registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Renovacao scored in 33% of their last 6 games.

Scoring Trends

Renovacao VS Canario
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.17
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
33% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Renovacao

(Home)
09 Jun
Bare AP
1 : 0
Renovacao
04 Jun
Renovacao
1 : 4
Mazagao
25 May
ADEC
2 : 2
Renovacao
22 May
Renovacao
0 : 1
Rio Norte
12 May
Sao Paulo AP
1 : 0
Renovacao
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Canario

(Away)
11 Jun
Canario
1 : 3
Cruzeiro AP
05 Jun
Portuguesa AP
5 : 1
Canario
29 May
Canario
2 : 1
Lagoa
19 May
Santana EC
3 : 0
Canario
15 May
Canario
2 : 1
Latitude Zero
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa AP 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Cruzeiro AP 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
3 Santana EC 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Latitude Zero 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Lagoa 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
6 Renovacao 6 0 1 5 3:12 1
Promotion - Amapaense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Norte 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Sao Paulo AP 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Canario 6 3 0 3 9:13 9
4 Mazagao 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
5 ADEC 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
6 Bare AP 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Amapaense 2 (Play Offs)