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Renovacao vs Rio Norte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2
Renovacao Logo

Renovacao

0 - 1
FT
Rio Norte Logo

Rio Norte

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rio Norte in this Amapaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Renovacao
20%
Draws
74%
Rio Norte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Norte lately — more wins on the board than Renovacao.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Rio Norte taking it.
  • Regular Amapaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Renovacao Clean Sheet 10%
Rio Norte Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renovacao Rio Norte
Matches Played 6 8
Wins 0 7
Draws 1 1
Losses 5 0
Goals Scored 0.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Amapaense 2
Renovacao vs Rio Norte
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renovacao 10 / 100
Rio Norte 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renovacao Rio Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Renovacao scored in 33% of their last 6 outings.

Rio Norte let in goals in 25% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Renovacao stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renovacao VS Rio Norte
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renovacao

(Home)
09 Jun
Bare AP
1 : 0
Renovacao
04 Jun
Renovacao
1 : 4
Mazagao
25 May
ADEC
2 : 2
Renovacao
22 May
Renovacao
0 : 1
Rio Norte
12 May
Sao Paulo AP
1 : 0
Renovacao
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Rio Norte

(Away)
26 Jun
Portuguesa AP
0 : 2
Rio Norte
22 Jun
Rio Norte
2 : 0
Sao Paulo AP
15 Jun
Rio Norte
0 : 0
Portuguesa AP
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
30 May
Rio Norte
1 : 0
Cruzeiro AP
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa AP 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Cruzeiro AP 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
3 Santana EC 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Latitude Zero 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Lagoa 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
6 Renovacao 6 0 1 5 3:12 1
Promotion - Amapaense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Norte 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Sao Paulo AP 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Canario 6 3 0 3 9:13 9
4 Mazagao 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
5 ADEC 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
6 Bare AP 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Amapaense 2 (Play Offs)