Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rentistas vs Miramar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Complejo Rentistas, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Mallet N.

AI Match Summary

Rentistas in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rentistas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rentistas
15%
Draws
42%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rentistas lately — more wins on the board than Miramar.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 20%
Miramar Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rentistas Miramar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.18 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Rentistas
1:1
May 17, 2026 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Miramar
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Miramar
1:1
Oct 15, 2023 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Rentistas
0:0
May 27, 2023 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Miramar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rentistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Mallet N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Miramar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rentistas 32 / 100
Miramar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rentistas Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Rentistas found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Rentistas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rentistas VS Miramar
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rentistas

(Home)
03 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 1
Huracan FC
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0
Rentistas
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
16 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Plaza Colonia
Page 1 of 6

Miramar

(Away)
03 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
27 Sept
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Miramar
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)