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Resende U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Mitson E.
57' Event
Wiliver
88'
Santos Rocha J.

AI Match Summary

Resende U20 in this Copa Rio U20 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Resende U20
20%
Draws
29%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Resende U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sampaio Correa FE U20 haven't matched Resende U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Resende U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Resende U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Resende U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Resende U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Resende U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resende U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wiliver
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende U20 83 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Resende U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Resende U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: Sampaio Correa FE U20 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Resende U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Resende U20 VS Sampaio Correa FE U20
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende U20

(Home)
04 Apr
Resende U20
0 : 3
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Mar
Volta Redonda U20
3 : 3
Resende U20
25 Mar
Resende U20
3 : 0
Olaria U20
21 Mar
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Resende U20
18 Mar
Resende U20
1 : 0
Boavista U20
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Sampaio Correa FE U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
04 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ U20 7 6 1 0 15:4 19
2 Vasco U20 7 5 2 0 21:6 17
3 Marica U20 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
4 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 12:12 9
5 America RJ U20 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
6 Artsul U20 7 2 1 4 9:16 7
7 Americano RJ U20 7 1 0 6 6:14 3
8 Bangu U20 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Resende U20 7 5 0 2 8:5 15
2 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 1 2 18:7 13
3 Fluminense U20 7 4 1 2 11:4 13
4 Nova Iguacu U20 7 3 2 2 7:4 11
5 Madureira U20 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
6 Volta Redonda U20 7 3 1 3 7:8 10
7 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 1 2 4 3:13 5
8 Sampaio Correa FE U20 7 0 1 6 5:18 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)