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Resende U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Resende U20 play Sampaio Correa FE U20 in the Copa Rio U20 2025. Resende U20 are favorites here. Recently, Resende U20 averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Sampaio Correa FE U20 averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Resende U20 won 1, Sampaio Correa FE U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Resende U20 and 1.88 for Sampaio Correa FE U20. This points to a Resende U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Resende U20
19%
Draws
18%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Resende U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Resende U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sampaio Correa FE U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Resende U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.36 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Resende U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resende U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wiliver
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende U20 59 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Resende U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Resende U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Resende U20 attacking → ← attacking Sampaio Correa FE U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Resende U20 scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Sampaio Correa FE U20 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Resende U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sampaio Correa FE U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 19
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botafogo RJ U20761015:419
2Vasco U20752021:617
3Marica U20750210:615
4Boavista U20730412:129
5America RJ U20722310:118
6Artsul U2072149:167
7Americano RJ U2071066:143
8Bangu U2070256:202
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Resende U2075028:515
2Flamengo RJ U20741218:713
3Fluminense U20741211:413
4Nova Iguacu U2073227:411
5Madureira U2073226:611
6Volta Redonda U2073137:810
7Portuguesa RJ U2071243:135
8Sampaio Correa FE U2070165:181