Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Thiaguinho
33'
33'
Cypriano L. H.
40'
40'
Thiaguinho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 8-1. The second leg ended 8-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belford Roxo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Resende come out ahead of Belford Roxo on wins alone.
- Model gives Belford Roxo a 39% chance of winning this.
- Resende have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Resende, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Resende Clean Sheet 18%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Resende | Belford Roxo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 26 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Resende vs Belford Roxo
8:1
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio
Belford Roxo vs Resende
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Resende Compare
Top Goalscorer Thiaguinho
2 Goals Assists Leader Aguiar H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Belford Roxo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Resende 28 / 100
Belford Roxo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Resende Belford Roxo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Belford Roxo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.
Resende found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
Belford Roxo let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.
Recent resilience: Resende stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Resende VS Belford Roxo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Resende
(Home) 01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0 Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0 Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0 Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1 Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1 Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0 Americano
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1 Sampaio Correa FE
11 Jul
Resende
1 : 0 Marica
04 Jul
Resende
1 : 2 Americano
23 Jun
Resende
8 : 1 Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 4
Belford Roxo
(Away) 01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0 Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2 Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2 Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2 Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0 FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2 Belford Roxo
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2 Belford Roxo
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4 Belford Roxo
23 Jun
Resende
8 : 1 Belford Roxo
16 Nov
Goytacaz
0 : 0 Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
