Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Resistencia vs Fernando de la Mora

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Benitez Samaniego D. D.
40' Event
Amarilla R.
49' Event
Gimenez A.

AI Match Summary

Resistencia in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Resistencia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Resistencia
15%
Draws
57%
Fernando de la Mora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fernando de la Mora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fernando de la Mora lately — more wins on the board than Resistencia.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Resistencia taking it.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Resistencia Clean Sheet 17%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resistencia Fernando de la Mora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia
2:1
May 30, 2026 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Fernando de la Mora
3:1
Aug 4, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia
1:1
Apr 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Fernando de la Mora
1:0
Aug 29, 2024 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resistencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Amarilla R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gimenez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez Samaniego D. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resistencia 41 / 100
Fernando de la Mora 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resistencia Fernando de la Mora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Resistencia scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Fernando de la Mora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Fernando de la Mora's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Resistencia VS Fernando de la Mora
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Resistencia

(Home)
02 Oct
Encarnacion FC
0 : 3
Resistencia
27 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
Deportivo Santani
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
12 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
3 de Noviembre
08 Sept
General Caballero JLM
2 : 1
Resistencia
Page 1 of 6

Fernando de la Mora

(Away)
05 Oct
Fernando de la Mora
0 : 2
General Caballero JLM
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
13 Sept
Sol de America
3 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 General Caballero JLM 27 16 5 6 54:33 53
2 Deportivo Santani 26 16 3 7 45:25 51
3 12 de Junio 27 14 8 5 36:27 50
4 Benjamin Aceval 26 12 6 8 40:32 42
5 Sol de America 27 9 14 4 33:25 41
6 Sportivo Carapegua 27 11 6 10 32:39 39
7 Paraguari AC 27 11 5 11 36:35 38
8 Independiente FBC 26 9 10 7 37:33 37
9 Atletico Tembetary 27 10 6 11 39:42 36
10 Resistencia 27 9 8 10 31:32 35
11 Fernando de la Mora 27 9 7 11 30:37 34
12 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
13 3 de Noviembre 27 6 8 13 33:40 26
14 Guairena FC 26 6 7 13 22:35 25
15 Tacuary 27 4 12 11 30:43 24
16 Encarnacion FC 27 6 4 17 25:39 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)