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Respublika FA vs Metallurg Bekabad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Aliev A.
52' Event
Karimov A.
61' Event
Saidnurullaev S.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Respublika FA and Metallurg Bekabad finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metallurg Bekabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Respublika FA
15%
Draws
47%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Respublika FA haven't matched Metallurg Bekabad's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Metallurg Bekabad taking it.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Respublika FA Clean Sheet 10%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Respublika FA Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.35 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Pro Liga
Respublika FA vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Pro Liga
Metallurg Bekabad vs Respublika FA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Respublika FA Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Karimov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saidnurullaev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Respublika FA 22 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Respublika FA Metallurg Bekabad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metallurg Bekabad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Respublika FA scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Metallurg Bekabad has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Respublika FA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Respublika FA VS Metallurg Bekabad
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Respublika FA

(Home)
08 Oct
Respublika FA
2 : 1
Yaypan
21 Sept
FC Lochin
0 : 3
Respublika FA
17 Sept
BuxDu
1 : 2
Respublika FA
12 Sept
Respublika FA
2 : 3
FarDU
07 Sept
Kattaqurgon
1 : 3
Respublika FA
Page 1 of 4

Metallurg Bekabad

(Away)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
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