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Retford United vs Matlock - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Wakefield H.
43' Event
Wakefield H.
45' Event
Wakefield H.

AI Match Summary

Matlock in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matlock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Retford United
15%
Draws
53%
Matlock
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matlock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Matlock lately — more wins on the board than Retford United.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Matlock taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Retford United Clean Sheet 10%
Matlock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retford United Matlock
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.72 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Retford United vs Matlock
0:3
Feb 5, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Retford United vs Matlock
0:4
Dec 11, 2010 NPL Premier Division
Matlock vs Retford United
4:2
Feb 20, 2010 NPL Premier Division
Retford United vs Matlock
1:1
Oct 13, 2009 NPL Premier Division
Matlock vs Retford United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Retford United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Matlock Compare

Top Goalscorer Wakefield H.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retford United 10 / 100
Matlock 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retford United Matlock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matlock Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Matlock conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Retford United found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Retford United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Retford United VS Matlock
1.33 Goals Scored 2.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Retford United

(Home)
14 Jul
Retford United
1 : 2
Mansfield
19 Jul
Parkgate
1 : 3
Retford United
08 Jul
Mansfield
6 : 0
Retford United
16 Jul
Retford United
0 : 7
Mansfield
25 Jul
Retford United
7 : 2
Winterton Rangers
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Matlock

(Away)
26 Sept
Matlock
0 : 4
Kettering
12 Sept
Matlock
5 : 1
Nuneaton
29 Aug
Lichfield City
0 : 5
Matlock
25 Jul
Carlton Town
1 : 4
Matlock
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
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