Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rethymniakos vs Karavas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025
Rethymniakos Logo

Rethymniakos

1 - 3
FT
Karavas Logo

Karavas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Karavas in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karavas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Rethymniakos
35%
Draws
41%
Karavas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karavas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karavas lately — more wins on the board than Rethymniakos.
  • Model gives Rethymniakos a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rethymniakos Clean Sheet 13%
Karavas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rethymniakos Karavas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Rethymniakos vs Karavas
1:3
Dec 21, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Karavas vs Rethymniakos
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rethymniakos 35 / 100
Karavas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rethymniakos Karavas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karavas has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rethymniakos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Rethymniakos's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rethymniakos VS Karavas
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rethymniakos

(Home)
07 Oct
Rethymniakos
4 : 1
Chersonissos
27 Sept
Giouchtas
0 : 0
Rethymniakos
27 Apr
AO Tympakiou
1 : 1
Rethymniakos
16 Apr
Rethymniakos
1 : 3
Karavas
12 Apr
Mandraikos
0 : 0
Rethymniakos
Page 1 of 6

Karavas

(Away)
27 Apr
Karavas
2 : 0
Atsalenios FC
16 Apr
Rethymniakos
1 : 3
Karavas
12 Apr
Karavas
3 : 0
AO Tympakiou
06 Apr
Giouchtas
1 : 1
Karavas
30 Mar
Mandraikos
3 : 0
Karavas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 32 22 8 2 61:22 74
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 32 22 7 3 62:20 73
3 Nea Ionia 32 20 7 5 54:25 67
4 Chaidari 32 15 9 8 36:24 54
5 Aris Petroupolis 32 15 7 10 39:31 52
6 Atsalenios FC 32 14 6 12 43:43 48
7 Giouchtas 32 14 5 13 39:40 47
8 AO Ilisiakos 32 14 5 13 50:41 47
9 E. Asteras 32 13 8 11 32:24 47
10 Kyanos Astir Varis 32 12 9 11 40:33 45
11 Thyella Diastavroseos 32 11 11 10 34:32 44
12 Agios Nikolaos 32 13 5 14 34:36 44
13 Karavas 32 7 6 19 27:58 27
14 Mandraikos 32 6 8 18 34:51 26
15 Thiva F.C. 32 7 5 20 27:55 26
16 AO Tympakiou 32 5 6 21 33:60 21
17 Rethymniakos 32 4 4 24 25:75 16
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Main)