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Retro U20 vs America PE U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano U20
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Retro U20 have averaged 1.81 scored and 0.84 conceded recently, against America PE U20's 1.79 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Retro U20 slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2024, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.50, favoring Retro U20. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Retro U20
20%
Draws
33%
America PE U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Retro U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Retro U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Retro U20 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Retro U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Retro U20 Clean Sheet 16%
America PE U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retro U20 America PE U20
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.81 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Pernambucano U20
America PE U20 vs Retro U20
0:4
Jul 24, 2022 Pernambucano U20
America PE U20 vs Retro U20
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retro U20 66 / 100
America PE U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retro U20 America PE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Retro U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Retro U20 scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: America PE U20 conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Retro U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Retro U20 VS America PE U20
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Retro U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Retro U20
4 : 0
Atletico Torres U20
19 Sept
Central SC U20
3 : 1
Retro U20
12 Sept
Retro U20
1 : 1
Santa Cruz U20
05 Sept
1º de Maio U20
0 : 4
Retro U20
02 Sept
Retro U20
6 : 0
Atletico PE U20
Page 1 of 7

America PE U20

(Away)
30 Sept
America PE U20
2 : 2
Serrano PE U20
18 Sept
Jaguar U20
0 : 4
America PE U20
13 Sept
America PE U20
1 : 2
Sport Recife U20
09 Sept
Nautico U20
3 : 1
America PE U20
05 Sept
Guarany PE U20
0 : 8
America PE U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Santa Cruz U20 -
Petrolina U20 -
Retro U20 -
America PE U20 -
Sport Recife U20 -
CA Porto U20 -
Nautico U20 -
Ipojuca U20 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -