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Retro U20 vs Santa Cruz U20

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Pernambucano U20 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano U20 2023 game between Retro U20 and Santa Cruz U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Retro U20
30%
Draws
29%
Santa Cruz U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Retro U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Retro U20 come out ahead of Santa Cruz U20 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Pernambucano U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Retro U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retro U20 Santa Cruz U20
Matches Played 41 38
Wins 22 19
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Pernambucano U20
Retro U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
1:2
Aug 9, 2023 Pernambucano U20
Retro U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
3:2
Jul 1, 2023 Pernambucano U20
Retro U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
0:1
Aug 24, 2022 Pernambucano U20
Santa Cruz U20 vs Retro U20
0:2
Aug 20, 2022 Pernambucano U20
Retro U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retro U20 31 / 100
Santa Cruz U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retro U20 Santa Cruz U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro U20 scored in 71% of their last 41 games.

Santa Cruz U20 let in goals in 61% of their last 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Retro U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Retro U20 VS Santa Cruz U20
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Retro U20

(Home)
13 Jan
Retro U20
0 : 4
Internacional U20
09 Jan
CA Juventus U20
0 : 0
Retro U20
06 Jan
FC Cascavel U20
0 : 2
Retro U20
03 Jan
Retro U20
3 : 2
Sao Bento U20
01 Nov
Retro U20
1 : 3
Sport Recife U20
Page 1 of 9

Santa Cruz U20

(Away)
09 Jan
Bandeirante U20
0 : 0
Santa Cruz U20
06 Jan
Tuna Luso U20
1 : 1
Santa Cruz U20
03 Jan
Santa Cruz U20
1 : 3
Botafogo SP U20
26 Nov
Nautico U20
2 : 0
Santa Cruz U20
15 Nov
America PE U20
1 : 2
Santa Cruz U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nautico U20 10 7 1 2 27:9 22
2 Sport Recife U20 10 6 3 1 17:6 21
3 Retro U20 10 5 3 2 14:8 18
4 Santa Cruz U20 10 5 3 2 10:10 18
5 CA Porto U20 10 5 2 3 14:7 17
6 Ibis Sport Club U20 10 4 3 3 12:13 15
7 Atletico PE U20 10 3 2 5 8:17 11
8 Central SC U20 10 2 5 3 10:10 11
9 Caruaru U20 10 3 0 7 8:15 9
10 Atletico Torres U20 10 1 5 4 7:13 8
11 Petrolina U20 10 0 1 9 2:21 1
Promotion - Pernambucano U20 2023 (Play Offs)