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Retz vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Austria Austria

Regionalliga East 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Meister N.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Sezen F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga East 2025/2026 game between Retz and FC Marchfeld Donauauen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Retz
39%
Draws
31%
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Marchfeld Donauauen come out ahead of Retz on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Regionalliga East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Retz Clean Sheet 10%
FC Marchfeld Donauauen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retz FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Regionalliga East
FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs Retz
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Regionalliga East
Retz vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen
1:1
Jun 10, 2016 Niederosterreich
Retz vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen
2:1
Nov 13, 2015 Niederosterreich
FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs Retz
2:2
May 2, 2015 Niederosterreich
Retz vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Retz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sezen F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Marchfeld Donauauen Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retz 29 / 100
FC Marchfeld Donauauen 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retz FC Marchfeld Donauauen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Retz found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

FC Marchfeld Donauauen has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Retz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Retz VS FC Marchfeld Donauauen
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Retz

(Home)
18 Jul
Retz
3 : 1
Lac Inter
06 Jun
Retz
2 : 1
Favoritner
30 May
Sportunion Mauer
1 : 2
Retz
16 May
Retz
0 : 0
Gloggnitz
09 May
Leobendorf
1 : 0
Retz
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FC Marchfeld Donauauen

(Away)
13 Jul
Widzew Lodz
4 : 3
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
10 Jul
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
2 : 2
Rapid Vienna II
03 Jul
SC Kalsdorf
1 : 1
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
26 Jun
SC Weiz
1 : 3
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
03 Jun
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
2 : 0
Donaufeld Wien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gloggnitz32188658:4562
2Parndorf32188658:3462
3Kremser32177861:3358
4Leobendorf321831148:3457
5SV Oberwart321751073:4256
6Horn32149957:3551
7Traiskirchen321481070:5250
8FC Marchfeld Donauauen321310955:3749
9Donaufeld Wien321381151:4447
10Wiener321371254:5246
11Wiener Viktoria321361350:5145
12SV Donau321281250:5744
13Favoritner321231744:5239
14Sportunion Mauer321071532:4737
15Neusiedl32851946:7229
16Retz32482025:6420
17TWL Elektra32222821:1028
Promotion - 2. Liga (Main)