Sport Picks

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Retz vs Mistelbach

Austria Austria

Niederosterreich 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Retz in this Niederosterreich 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Retz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Retz
15%
Draws
53%
Mistelbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mistelbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Mistelbach haven't matched Retz's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Retz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Retz Clean Sheet 18%
Mistelbach Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retz Mistelbach
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2012 Niederosterreich
Retz vs Mistelbach
2:0
Sep 16, 2011 Niederosterreich
Mistelbach vs Retz
0:2
May 6, 2011 Niederosterreich
Mistelbach vs Retz
0:2
Sep 25, 2010 Niederosterreich
Retz vs Mistelbach
5:2
Mar 13, 2010 Niederosterreich
Retz vs Mistelbach
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retz 32 / 100
Mistelbach 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retz Mistelbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mistelbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mistelbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Retz found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (37 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Retz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Retz VS Mistelbach
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Retz

(Home)
02 Oct
Korneuburg
1 : 0
Retz
26 Sept
Retz
3 : 1
Ortmann
18 Sept
Ebreichsdorf
4 : 2
Retz
12 Sept
Retz
3 : 1
St. Polten (Am)
05 Sept
ASK Ybbs
1 : 0
Retz
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Mistelbach

(Away)
21 Jul
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
0 : 1
Mistelbach
22 Feb
Mistelbach
4 : 1
SC Ladendorf
14 Feb
Simmeringer
2 : 0
Mistelbach
18 Jul
Mistelbach
1 : 1
Gersthofer
14 Feb
Post Wien
1 : 2
Mistelbach
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