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Reus FC Reddis vs UD Ourense

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadi Municipal de Reus, Reus
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Ramon J.
45'
Bueso P.
90'
Labrada J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Reus FC Reddis
15%
Draws
12%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reus FC Reddis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Ourense come out ahead of Reus FC Reddis on wins alone.
  • Reus FC Reddis are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • UD Ourense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Reus FC Reddis Clean Sheet 68%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reus FC Reddis UD Ourense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.04 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Reus FC Reddis
2:1
May 9, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Reus FC Reddis vs UD Ourense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reus FC Reddis 86 / 100
UD Ourense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reus FC Reddis UD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reus FC Reddis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reus FC Reddis scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: UD Ourense conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

UD Ourense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Reus FC Reddis VS UD Ourense
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Reus FC Reddis

(Home)
27 Sept
Utebo FC
0 : 1
Reus FC Reddis
20 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0
Naxara
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
0 : 1
Osasuna B
29 Aug
Reus FC Reddis
0 : 1
Castellon B
Page 1 of 6

UD Ourense

(Away)
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B 2
Jaen 3
Baleares 4
Coruxo FC 1
Deportiva Minera 0
CD Coria 1
Real Oviedo B 3
Tudelano 1
UD Logrones 4
Getafe B 1
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Alcoyano 1
UD Ourense 2
Reus FC Reddis 1
Conquense 1
Xerez CD 1
Aguilas FC 4
Utebo FC 2
UD Poblense 3
Numancia 1
Final
Jaen 4
Baleares 2
CD Coria 4
Real Oviedo B 0
UD Logrones 2
San Sebastian Reyes 1
UD Ourense 3
Conquense 0
Aguilas FC 2
UD Poblense 1