Sport Picks

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Rezekne vs AFA Olaine

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Cernovs K.
49' Event
Politis R.
53' Event
Sako A.

AI Match Summary

AFA Olaine in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFA Olaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Rezekne
20%
Draws
70%
AFA Olaine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFA Olaine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFA Olaine lately — more wins on the board than Rezekne.
  • Model gives AFA Olaine a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AFA Olaine have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne AFA Olaine
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1.15 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.7 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs AFA Olaine
3:4
Jul 19, 2025 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Rezekne
3:0
Sep 14, 2024 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Rezekne
5:0
Jun 21, 2024 Latvian Cup
Rezekne vs AFA Olaine
1:5
May 12, 2024 1. Liga
Rezekne vs AFA Olaine
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Sako A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hscanovics R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlenko E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cernovs K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 14 / 100
AFA Olaine 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne AFA Olaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFA Olaine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFA Olaine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Rezekne's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rezekne stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rezekne

(Home)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
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AFA Olaine

(Away)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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