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Rezekne vs AFA Olaine

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Cernovs K.
49' Event
Politis R.
53' Event
Sako A.

AI Match Summary

AFA Olaine in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFA Olaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Rezekne
17%
Draws
13%
AFA Olaine
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rezekne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFA Olaine lately — more wins on the board than Rezekne.
  • Model gives Rezekne a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • AFA Olaine have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne AFA Olaine
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 3.88 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs AFA Olaine
3:4
Jul 19, 2025 Nakotnes liga
AFA Olaine vs Rezekne
3:0
Sep 14, 2024 Nakotnes liga
AFA Olaine vs Rezekne
5:0
Jun 21, 2024 Latvian Cup
Rezekne vs AFA Olaine
1:5
May 12, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs AFA Olaine
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Sako A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hscanovics R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlenko E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cernovs K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 65 / 100
AFA Olaine 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne AFA Olaine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFA Olaine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Rezekne's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rezekne stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS AFA Olaine
0.88 Goals Scored 2
3.88 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ogre United26184466:2058
2Alberts JDFS26177260:2458
3Riga Mariners26184474:3458
4JFK Ventspils261110540:2943
5RFS 226118746:3141
6Skanste26117836:3940
7Leevon PPK261061040:4036
8Marupe261021430:3332
9Rezekne26871136:5731
10FK Smiltene26841446:4828
11Riga FC 226661435:4324
12Tukums 2000 226721737:6023
13AFA Olaine26641639:8822
14Augsdaugavas26351819:5814